Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000068 0.000071 0.000075 0.000079 0.000083 0.000087
2025-02-23 0.000062 0.000067 0.000072 0.000078 0.000085 0.000093 0.000101
2025-03-02 0.000058 0.000063 0.000069 0.000076 0.000085 0.000095 0.000107
2025-03-09 0.000054 0.000059 0.000066 0.000074 0.000084 0.000095 0.000110
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000058 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085 0.000098 0.000116
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000088 0.000103 0.000125
2025-03-30 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000105 0.000130
2025-04-06 0.000046 0.000052 0.000061 0.000071 0.000085 0.000103 0.000130
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000068 0.000082 0.000101 0.000128
2025-04-20 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080 0.000098 0.000126
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000097 0.000126
2025-05-04 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000065 0.000080 0.000101 0.000134
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000083 0.000106 0.000144
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000046 0.000055 0.000069 0.000088 0.000116 0.000163
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000044 0.000054 0.000067 0.000087 0.000116 0.000166
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000043 0.000052 0.000065 0.000085 0.000114 0.000166
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000065 0.000086 0.000117 0.000174
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000122 0.000187
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000041 0.000051 0.000065 0.000088 0.000123 0.000192
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000063 0.000085 0.000121 0.000190
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000061 0.000082 0.000117 0.000185
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000079 0.000113 0.000181
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000057 0.000078 0.000112 0.000180